Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.333472 0.389595 0.451998 0.526495 0.612984 0.710213 0.827801
2025-02-16 0.238885 0.312946 0.404798 0.526936 0.684974 0.882474 1.148028
2025-02-23 0.187944 0.267257 0.373602 0.526303 0.739681 1.027044 1.443373
2025-03-02 0.153199 0.232965 0.346949 0.521185 0.780342 1.151133 1.721718
2025-03-09 0.129426 0.208607 0.328164 0.521073 0.823870 1.280236 2.019807
2025-03-16 0.107172 0.182069 0.300930 0.502295 0.834036 1.357921 2.247203
2025-03-23 0.099815 0.177750 0.307057 0.535859 0.929408 1.577232 2.723111
2025-03-30 0.085323 0.158903 0.286247 0.521067 0.941788 1.662026 2.986443
2025-04-06 0.073000 0.141814 0.265738 0.503286 0.945503 1.730852 3.228439
2025-04-13 0.063006 0.127391 0.247782 0.487173 0.949206 1.798620 3.474704
2025-04-20 0.057207 0.120082 0.241858 0.492442 0.992662 1.942393 3.877036
2025-04-27 0.053966 0.117347 0.244237 0.513890 1.069478 2.156682 4.438366
2025-05-04 0.049779 0.112211 0.241492 0.525382 1.129424 2.348252 4.984683
2025-05-11 0.045524 0.106326 0.236483 0.531659 1.179866 2.527729 5.530899
2025-05-18 0.041256 0.099725 0.228972 0.531361 1.215949 2.681299 6.040653
2025-05-25 0.037151 0.092855 0.219887 0.526214 1.240499 2.812874 6.518323
2025-06-01 0.033894 0.087486 0.213433 0.526103 1.276160 2.972310 7.076514
2025-06-08 0.029832 0.079509 0.199790 0.507147 1.265495 3.026699 7.401264
2025-06-15 0.029305 0.080409 0.207545 0.541028 1.385063 3.393060 8.499892
2025-06-22 0.026154 0.073970 0.196321 0.526097 1.383095 3.473467 8.921503
2025-06-29 0.023222 0.067661 0.184557 0.508147 1.371125 3.528148 9.286075
2025-07-06 0.020704 0.062106 0.173991 0.491881 1.361326 3.586846 9.667616
2025-07-13 0.019365 0.059707 0.171546 0.497201 1.409324 3.796969 10.465231